ToneBird
Strong signalAI reply assistant that remembers your relationships
Launched 8h ago
Signal
71
Velocity
0
What this means
30.5×Growing 30.5× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 12 comparable launches at the same age.
36%Mid-tier finish likely.
Projecting attention of 122 by end of day-1.
+52%Launching in a 52% WoW growing category.
Artificial Intelligence had 672 launches this week vs 442 last.
17Founder Conviction Index: 17 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
36%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
122range 92–165
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
30.5×
12 comparable launches
About
ToneBird is an AI reply assistant for Mac and Windows. It remembers your relationships, uses conversation history and connected files, and drafts replies in your voice inside Gmail, Slack, and other supported apps. You review and send.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement20
Discussion per unit of attention
Editorial read
Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.
ThinLittle evidence and no strong angle. Nothing to build on yet.
125/8
Timeliness5%100
carried 7%
Trend20%40
carried 27%
Novelty15%19
carried 20%
Business15%11
carried 20%
Story20%0
carried 27%
Not measured · 3 of 8
Revenue10%—
Founder10%—
Cross-platform5%—
Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 5 we did measure.
measuredmeasured, zeronot measured
Full audit →Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoring23% evidence coverage
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.
