Toads
Quiet signalA better Screen Recorder for Busy Founders
Launched 1d ago
Signal
20
Velocity
0
What this means
+89%Launching in a 89% WoW growing category.
Mac had 66 launches this week vs 35 last.
16Founder Conviction Index: 16 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
6%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
3range 2–4
Trajectory
stable
Vote pace holding steady.
Speed vs peers
1×
13 comparable launches
About
I built the screen recorder I wanted for my Mac. Native Mac screen recorder + real editor. Record your screen, camera, iphone / add video/replace speaker/ transcribe. all the things. Fast, local, private, and built for people who want great-looking recordings without another subscription. $29.99 once.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement—
not measured
Editorial read
Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.
ThinLittle evidence and no strong angle. Nothing to build on yet.
96/8
Timeliness5%96
carried 6%
Trend20%48
carried 24%
Founder10%18
carried 12%
Business15%5
carried 18%
Novelty15%5
carried 18%
Story20%0
carried 24%
Not measured · 2 of 8
Revenue10%—
Cross-platform5%—
Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 6 we did measure.
measuredmeasured, zeronot measured
Full audit →Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking5 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoring12% evidence coverage
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.