Runrate
Quiet signalYouTube earnings, time to monetize and pace, in one scan
Launched 23d ago
Signal
17
Velocity
0
What this means
40%Vote pace is below typical for this category.
Running at 40% of comparable launches.
+59%Launching in a 59% WoW growing category.
YouTube had 27 launches this week vs 17 last.
15Founder Conviction Index: 15 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
3%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
2range 2–3
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
0.4×
280 comparable launches
About
Paste any YouTube channel and Runrate shows its likely monthly earnings with a tight range, how long until it can monetize at its current pace, and the reasons behind every number. The math is plain formulas tuned on channels whose creators published their real earnings. Free for 2 channels a day, no login. Pro adds unlimited scans, upload plans with a date, what works in your niche from similar channels, live tracking of 3 channels and a weekly email.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement—
not measured
Signal sources
1 of 6 active- Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoringbelow the signal threshold for this pass
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.