Punch
Notable signalSave your group chat's important stuff
Launched 8h ago
Signal
53
Velocity
0
What this means
38.5×Growing 38.5× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 16 comparable launches at the same age.
+929%Launching in a 929% WoW growing category.
Android had 144 launches this week vs 14 last.
17Founder Conviction Index: 17 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
29%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
77range 58–104
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
38.5×
16 comparable launches
About
You’re on vacation with your friends and you need to know the AirBnB address, the door code, the rendezvous spot, etc. Instead of scrolling through 100+ messages, save all that info on Punch and share with your friends and family. Why we're different: Notes App: This can fill up quick and can look clunky after a while. You also can’t share individual pieces from a note. Also, incompatibility between OS. Drive/Dropbox/etc.: Has the storage/shareability aspect, but is more geared toward storage.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement3
Discussion per unit of attention
Editorial read
Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.
ThinLittle evidence and no strong angle. Nothing to build on yet.
125/8
Timeliness5%100
carried 7%
Trend20%50
carried 27%
Novelty15%37
carried 20%
Business15%1
carried 20%
Story20%0
carried 27%
Not measured · 3 of 8
Revenue10%—
Founder10%—
Cross-platform5%—
Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 5 we did measure.
measuredmeasured, zeronot measured
Full audit →Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoring13% evidence coverage
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.
