NerfTracker

Quiet signal

We show you when models get nerfed

Launched 1mo ago

Signal

Velocity

What this means

16Founder Conviction Index: 16 — low signal.

Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.

Prediction

Top-5 finish probability

today

Projected end-of-day votes

2range 2–3

Trajectory

stable

Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.

About

Is it nerfed? We regularly give every model the same coding tasks, track whether its work gets worse, and let you know when it does. Every model gets the same written prompt and one attempt, working in its own coding tool (Claude Code, Codex or Grok Build) at high effort, with no human help. Each run starts on a clean sandbox. Nothing carries over between runs: memories, sessions, caches and leftover processes are wiped, and the clean state is verified by checksum before and after.

Attention & discussion velocity

Performance

Velocity0

Vote pace vs average

Momentum0

Sustained over 6h

Virality0

Spread × engagement

Engagement—

not measured

Signal sources

1 of 6 active

Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
AI analysisnot yet enriched
Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
Revenue signalsno match on this domain
Editorial scoringbelow the signal threshold for this pass

A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.