Gemini 4 Carbon
Notable signalGoogle's next frontier model
Launched 14d ago
Signal
57
Velocity
3
What this means
16.5×Growing 16.5× faster than the typical AI Agents launch.
Compared to 108 AI Agents launches at the same age.
Decaying
Vote pace down to 18% of launch speed.
Low discussion activity despite the attention.
Audience is voting but not engaging — could signal weak product-market fit.
25Founder Conviction Index: 25 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
8.1×Founder historically performs 8.1× the median launch we track.
Best prior launch: Gemini 3.8 & 3.8 Live Extended Thinking, attention 213.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
20%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
165range 124–223
Trajectory
decaying
Vote pace down to 18% of launch speed.
Speed vs peers
16.5×
108 AI Agents launches
About
Gemini 4 Carbon is our strongest model with state-of-the-art cybersecurity and long horizon capabilities.
AI Summary
Gemini 4 Carbon is Google's latest AI model, featuring advanced cybersecurity measures and extended operational capabilities. It represents a significant advancement in the company's artificial intelligence technology.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity3
Vote pace vs average
Momentum3
Sustained over 6h
Virality5
Spread × engagement
Engagement8
Discussion per unit of attention
Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking9 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisAI Agents
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoringbelow the signal threshold for this pass
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.
