Elephant-Goldfish Model

Early signal

Draft specs with AI. Review with fresh agents.

Launched 16d ago

Signal

Velocity

What this means

2.8×Growing 2.8× faster than the typical Coding Tools launch.

Compared to 24 Coding Tools launches at the same age.

18Founder Conviction Index: 18 — low signal.

Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.

Prediction

Top-5 finish probability

22%

today

Projected end-of-day votes

17range 13–23

Trajectory

stable

Vote pace holding steady.

Speed vs peers

2.8×

24 Coding Tools launches

About

EGM helps you draft software specs with AI, then fresh subagents review them without the earlier conversation. Run a drift report to compare specs with code. Open source. Works with Claude, Codex, Antigravity, and ChatGPT.

AI Summary

The Elephant-Goldfish Model is an open-source developer tool that utilizes AI to draft software specifications, which are then reviewed by independent subagents. It includes a drift report feature to compare specifications with the corresponding code and is compatible with various AI models.

Attention & discussion velocity

Performance

Velocity9

Vote pace vs average

Momentum9

Sustained over 6h

Virality17

Spread × engagement

Engagement35

Discussion per unit of attention

Signal sources

2 of 6 active

Launch tracking9 readings since we picked it up
AI analysisCoding Tools
Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
Revenue signalsno match on this domain
Editorial scoringbelow the signal threshold for this pass

A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.