CycleWatch Portfolio
Quiet signalPortfolio beta with honest error ranges
Launched 21d ago
Signal
17
Velocity
0
What this means
40%Vote pace is below typical for this category.
Running at 40% of comparable launches.
14Founder Conviction Index: 14 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
3%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
2range 2–3
Trajectory
stable
Vote pace holding steady.
Speed vs peers
0.4×
234 comparable launches
About
Enter your holdings or import a broker CSV to get beta for every stock and your whole mix, with typical-miss ranges. Compare 2-year daily, adjusted and 5-year monthly figures, swap holdings in a what-if lab, see sectors. Free, in your browser, nothing stored.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement—
not measured
Signal sources
1 of 6 active- Launch tracking3 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoringbelow the signal threshold for this pass
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.