CrossTide Signals
Quiet signalA $0.99/mo market brief that grades every call in public
Launched 21h ago
Signal
18
Velocity
21
What this means
+40%Launching in a 40% WoW growing category.
Finance had 28 launches this week vs 20 last.
19Founder Conviction Index: 19 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
3 launchesSerial maker — this is their 3rd launch.
Best prior: Sigil Electrolyte Sticks, attention 2.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
14%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
2range 2–3
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
1×
4 comparable launches
About
Most AI forecasting tools sell you an accuracy claim. CrossTide Signals sells you the receipts. Every trading morning it calls SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, gold, oil, and Bitcoin up or down, with probabilities. Every call is logged before the outcome and graded in public — hit rate and Brier score on the page, misses included. Pro is $0.99/month. Current record: 18 calls graded, 38.9% hit rate, Brier 0.279 — small, honest, and growing daily.
Attention & discussion velocity
Not enough snapshots yet. Run the snapshot worker every 15 min to build the time-series.
Performance
Pace needs two or more snapshots. This launch has 1, so velocity and momentum read as unmeasured rather than zero.
Velocity—
not measured
Momentum—
not measured
Virality—
not measured
Engagement—
not measured
Editorial read
Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.
InvestigateRanks high on little evidence. Worth a look, but verify before committing.
166/8
Timeliness5%100
carried 6%
Novelty15%90
carried 18%
Trend20%38
carried 24%
Founder10%17
carried 12%
Business15%5
carried 18%
Story20%0
carried 24%
Not measured · 2 of 8
Revenue10%—
Cross-platform5%—
Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 6 we did measure.
measuredmeasured, zeronot measured
Full audit →Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking1 reading since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoring17% evidence coverage
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.