Crescent Trace
Quiet signalFind where your AI agent got stuck, in your browser
Launched 29d ago
Signal
18
Velocity
21
What this means
30%Vote pace is below typical for this category.
Running at 30% of comparable launches.
21Founder Conviction Index: 21 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
10%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
2range 2–3
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
0.3×
229 comparable launches
About
Zero setup and fully private: paste a trace and get the exact failing step, loop type and tokens wasted in under a second, all in your browser. Deterministic rules instead of an LLM; works with LangGraph, OpenAI and OpenTelemetry traces, and is benchmarked on 148 human-labelled agent failures. Also available: "Ask the dragon," an optional AI second opinion for Claude users. It reviews only the flagged steps, explains the root cause, and catches reasoning mistakes the rules can't see.
Attention & discussion velocity
Not enough snapshots yet. Run the snapshot worker every 15 min to build the time-series.
Performance
Pace needs two or more snapshots. This launch has 1, so velocity and momentum read as unmeasured rather than zero.
Velocity—
not measured
Momentum—
not measured
Virality—
not measured
Engagement—
not measured
Signal sources
1 of 6 active- Launch tracking1 reading since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoringbelow the signal threshold for this pass
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.