Caldera
Strong signalYour Obsidian vault as a living profile and linked garden
Launched 8h ago
Signal
71
Velocity
0
What this means
-29%Category cooling: Notes.
Launches down 29% week-over-week.
13Founder Conviction Index: 13 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
27%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
119range 89–161
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
About
Caldera turns your Obsidian vault into a public page that updates itself, and a digital garden of notes you grow in public. Plant a note and it becomes a page marked seedling, budding or evergreen, with a license you choose. Link to a note in a friend's garden and the backlink appears on theirs. Private by default: nothing leaves your vault unless you choose it, and contact details are stripped. Free, open source and self-hostable.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement18
Discussion per unit of attention
Editorial read
Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.
InvestigateRanks high on little evidence. Worth a look, but verify before committing.
165/8
Timeliness5%100
carried 7%
Novelty15%74
carried 20%
Trend20%30
carried 27%
Business15%11
carried 20%
Story20%0
carried 27%
Not measured · 3 of 8
Revenue10%—
Founder10%—
Cross-platform5%—
Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 5 we did measure.
measuredmeasured, zeronot measured
Full audit →Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoring23% evidence coverage
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.