Burnstate

Strong signal

Claude Code, Codex & Cursor limits, paced in your menu bar

Launched 10h ago

Signal

Velocity

What this means

24.7×Growing 24.7× faster than the typical comparable launch.

Compared to 4 comparable launches at the same age.

+44%Launching in a 44% WoW growing category.

Menu Bar Apps had 46 launches this week vs 32 last.

14Founder Conviction Index: 14 — low signal.

Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.

Prediction

Top-5 finish probability

28%

today

Projected end-of-day votes

74range 56–100

Trajectory

stable

Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.

Speed vs peers

24.7×

4 comparable launches

About

Burnstate is a native Mac menu bar app for people who code with AI. It shows your Claude Code, Codex, Cursor and Vercel AI Gateway limits, marks how much of each window has passed, and tells you when you'd run out at your current pace. Answer Claude Code permission prompts and questions from a card, see every session's tokens and cost, take breaks that count only time away, and share a year of usage as a link. No account, no analytics.

Attention & discussion velocity

Performance

Velocity0

Vote pace vs average

Momentum0

Sustained over 6h

Virality0

Spread × engagement

Engagement24

Discussion per unit of attention

Editorial read

Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.

ThinLittle evidence and no strong angle. Nothing to build on yet.

126/8

Timeliness5%100

carried 6%

Trend20%39

carried 24%

Founder10%23

carried 12%

Business15%13

carried 18%

Novelty15%6

carried 18%

Story20%0

carried 24%

Not measured · 2 of 8

Revenue10%—

Cross-platform5%—

Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 6 we did measure.

measuredmeasured, zeronot measured

Full audit →

Signal sources

2 of 6 active

Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
AI analysisnot yet enriched
Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
Revenue signalsno match on this domain
Editorial scoring35% evidence coverage

A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.