Bolt Forge
Strong signalBolt's new agent with open-source models and 50X usage
Launched 8h ago
Signal
64
Velocity
0
What this means
70×Growing 70× faster than the typical comparable launch.
Compared to 16 comparable launches at the same age.
38%Mid-tier finish likely.
Projecting attention of 140 by end of day-1.
Low discussion activity despite the attention.
Audience is voting but not engaging — could signal weak product-market fit.
+1048%Launching in a 1048% WoW growing category.
Artificial Intelligence had 689 launches this week vs 60 last.
24Founder Conviction Index: 24 — low signal.
Few of the conviction sub-signals (reputation, velocity, buyer-intent, tagline clarity) are firing yet.
Prediction
Top-5 finish probability
38%
today
Projected end-of-day votes
140range 105–189
Trajectory
stable
Not enough snapshots yet to detect trajectory.
Speed vs peers
70×
16 comparable launches
About
Bolt Forge is a new agent inside Bolt.new that runs on open-source models. Every Pro plan gets up to 50X more usage with no daily caps. Scores 91% of Bolt's top paid model on their internal benchmark.
Attention & discussion velocity
Performance
Velocity0
Vote pace vs average
Momentum0
Sustained over 6h
Virality0
Spread × engagement
Engagement4
Discussion per unit of attention
Editorial read
Scored deterministically. Only candidates that fire a story trigger are sent to a model, so this one has no written angle.
ThinLittle evidence and no strong angle. Nothing to build on yet.
135/8
Timeliness5%100
carried 7%
Trend20%50
carried 27%
Business15%33
carried 20%
Novelty15%13
carried 20%
Story20%0
carried 27%
Not measured · 3 of 8
Revenue10%—
Founder10%—
Cross-platform5%—
Gaps in our data, not findings about the product. Their weight is redistributed across the 5 we did measure.
measuredmeasured, zeronot measured
Full audit →Signal sources
2 of 6 active- Launch tracking2 readings since we picked it up
- AI analysisnot yet enriched
- Comment intelligencethread not yet analysed
- Outside discussionnot checked — domain is a storefront or shared
- Revenue signalsno match on this domain
- Editorial scoring13% evidence coverage
A source that found nothing is a measurement. A source that has not run is a gap. Neither means the launch lacks the thing.